Tale of the Tape
|Age at Draft||20|
|Baseball America Rank||No. 8|
While Detmers doesn’t have the best “stuff,” in the 2020 draft, the left-hander from Louisville is a strike-throwing workhorse.
At 6-2, 210-pounds, Detmers threw 113 innings in his sophomore season at Louisville, striking out 167 opposing hitters while walking just 33. That’s good for a K/9 of 13.3, all while walking only 7.4 percent of all hitters that he faced.
In 55 innings as a freshman, Detmers still had a gaudy K/9 rate (11.2) but struggled with control (5.5 BB/9). Louisville sent Detmers to the Cape Cod League to work on the walks, and he did just that, walking only seven hitters in just under 28 innings of work.
Detmers offers a low-70’s curveball that — as you can see from the video above — is an absolute hammer.
His polished skillset will make him one of the most probable major-league arms in the draft, and I’d be kind of surprised if he makes it out of the top-10 for that reason.
Detmers has a below-average modern-day fastball in terms of velocity, checking in at 91-92 mph more often than not.
His fastball velocity profiles him as a No. 3-4 starter in a big-league rotation, but there’s plenty of places to look for current major-league starters who have found success with a below-average fastball velocity, even in this day-and-age.
The fit is as obvious as it gets for the White Sox, who are an organization starved for left-handed pitching throughout the farm.
In their top-30 prospects, only Bernardo Flores (No. 20) and Konnor Pilkington (No. 24) match that category, and neither of them profile as a mid-top rotation starter like Detmers does, and could if he can add a little something to that fastball.
Detmers probably could see his way into the White Sox rotation in the next two years, given his polished skillset, and the impending departures of Gio Gonzalez, and more than likely, Carlos Rodon.
Detmers is currently ranked eighth on Baseball America’s Top-500, and they have him going to Pittsburgh at No. 7 in their latest mock draft. I can’t say that I would see him lasting to No. 11 for the White Sox, but if he does, he could be the pick.
His high-strike throwing and high-command profile are likely going to be tempting enough for the White Sox to pass on prep shortstop Ed Howard but don’t count on him being there at 11.
If the White Sox want Detmers, it’s probably a good thing that he didn’t get to finish what he started in 2020 at Louisville. In four starts, he went 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA, 48 strikeouts and just six walks over the course of 22 innings of work. He was on course for a monster season (19.6 K/9) that would have surely pushed him into the top-5, if not higher.
If it shakes out this way, who could complain about adding a pitcher with such a refined profile to their system.
Detmers’ command and devastating curveball, coupled with his highly competitive demeanor would make him one of the quicker risers through the system in this year’s draft, meaning we could see him pitching meaningful innings in Chicago sometime in the next two years.
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